Polymarket market · Other

Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: Yes won · See it on Polymarket ↗

3 whales traded $75K on this market since Oct 11, 98% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.8¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Yes won, with 2% of the whale buying on it. Of the 2 whales whose whole position we captured, 1 made +$2.7K and 1 lost −$71K: −$69K between them. Biggest win: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, +$2.7K on Yes. Biggest loss: Clueless-Millet-Medicine, −$71K on No.

The whales on this market

3 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Clueless-Millet-Medicine
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 62¢ $71K — −$71K
Stunning-Parole
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $2.0K —
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 39¢ $1.7K — +$2.7K

Where the whale money went

  1. No lost
    $71K
    98% of whale buying · 1 buyer
  2. Yes won
    $1.7K
    2% of whale buying · 1 buyer · $2.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed