Wary-Bartender-Waveform

0xe7ef9297c95588408c956f12a8210b02d82a0723

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Wary-Bartender-Waveform: +$465 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$465
return +4.9%
Settled bets
4
$9.5K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
−$1.8K
Sep 6 – Sep 24
+$2.5K
Sep 24 – Oct 12
−$200
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9% (2,374 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY No @ 54¢
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11?
Will FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11? $2.7K
Oct 11 BUY Over @ 50¢
Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5
Real Betis Balompié vs. CA Osasuna: O/U 3.5 $2.5K
Sep 17 BUY Over @ 51¢
Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 3.5
Juventus FC vs. NEC: O/U 3.5 $2.6K
Aug 30 BUY Yes @ 51¢
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-30?
Will FC Famalicão win on 2026-08-30? $1.8K

All 4 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791788420, computed 2026-10-12 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791788420 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed