Polymarket market · Other
Cagliari Calcio vs. Juventus FC: O/U 1.5
Resolved: Over won · See it on Polymarket ↗
9 whales traded $161K on this market since Oct 11, 81% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 3 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Over won, with 19% of the whale buying on it. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$2.2K and 5 lost −$107K: −$104K between them. Biggest win: Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller, +$1.2K on Over. Biggest loss: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, −$70K on Under.
The whales on this market
9 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
245 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 24¢ | $78K | $8.0K | −$70K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 45¢ | $42K | — | −$27K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 74¢ | $20K | — | −$3.4K |
| 0x8191…da72
232 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 55¢ | $5.4K | — | −$5.4K |
| Alarmed-Controller
51 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $2.3K | — |
| Ultimate-Subcomponent-Steamroller
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 62¢ | $2.0K | — | +$1.2K |
| Scary-Edible
1,413 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Over @ 85¢ | $1.8K | — | +$324 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,090 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 53¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Gifted-Language-Morbid
13 settled bets Too few bets |
Over @ 60¢ | $1.0K | — | +$667 |
Where the whale money went
-
Under lost$123K81% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $8.0K sold
-
Over won$28K19% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $2.3K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11? | $72K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | $81K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | $69K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Will Iran withdraw from the NPT before 2027? | $55K | 11 | Open | |
| Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5 | $209K | 17 | Won: Under | |
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? | $75K | 3 | Won: Yes | |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-11? | $67K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $76K | 19 | Open |