Attractive-Pigsty-Leeway

0x8806a6f1a847ba4360599ce0f54ce96167712e83

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Attractive-Pigsty-Leeway: +$7.7K on 55 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 76% (95% range 64%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$7.7K
return +2.8%
Settled bets
55
$278K staked
Won
76.4%
95% range 64%–86%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 47 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Aug 20 – Sep 6
+$6.0K
Sep 6 – Sep 23
+$3.9K
Sep 23 – Oct 11
−$2.2K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

In the live feed

SELL $11K
sold Under @ 86¢ → won

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 85¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-10?
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-10? $2.0K
Oct 11 BUY Yes @ 83¢
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-10?
Will FC Cincinnati win on 2026-10-10? $1.8K
Oct 10 BUY Under @ 80¢
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 $1.5K
Oct 10 BUY Under @ 80¢
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 $2.0K
Oct 10 BUY Under @ 80¢
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5
CA Central Córdoba vs. Estudiantes de La Plata: O/U 4.5 $2.0K
Oct 10 BUY Over @ 83¢
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 $4.3K
Oct 10 BUY Over @ 69¢
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5
1. FC Magdeburg vs. Hannover 96: O/U 2.5 $1.5K
Oct 5 BUY Under @ 92¢
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5
Cyprus vs. Latvia: O/U 2.5 $2.0K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed