Polymarket market · Other

Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

9 whales traded $72K on this market since Oct 11, 88% of their buying on No. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 5 minutes later would have cost 0.3¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. No won, with 88% of the whale buying on it. Of the 6 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$2.2K and 3 lost −$3.7K: −$1.5K between them. Biggest win: Sandy-Nightingale, +$1.0K on No. Biggest loss: Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf, −$2.2K on Yes.

The whales on this market

9 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Illustrious-Budget
62 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 88¢ $20K $30K —
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 86¢ $5.4K — −$409
Sandy-Nightingale
168 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 60¢ $1.5K $2.6K +$1.0K
Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 48¢ $3.8K — −$2.2K
Practical-Advent
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 87¢ $2.1K — +$316
Chilly-Banana
6 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $2.1K —
Quirky-Woodchuck-Overload
34 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 68¢ $1.9K — +$896
Wooden-Breath
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 47¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Flickering-Portfolio-Will
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.0K —

Where the whale money went

  1. No won
    $32K
    88% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $5.7K sold
  2. Yes lost
    $4.4K
    12% of whale buying · 3 buyers
  3. No lost
    $0
    0% of whale buying · 0 buyers · $30K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791874803).

More other markets the whales bet on

All Other →
About this data · run 1791874803, computed 2026-10-13 07:00 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791874803 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed