Polymarket market · Other
Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF: O/U 4.5
Resolved: Under won · See it on Polymarket ↗
17 whales traded $209K on this market since Oct 11, 94% of their buying on Under. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded about 4 minutes later would have cost 7.5¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Under won, with 94% of the whale buying on it. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 13 made +$84K and 2 lost −$1.7K: +$83K between them. Biggest win: Prickly-Clasp-Discount, +$70K on Under. Biggest loss: Hollow-Maggot-Sense, −$1.1K on Over.
The whales on this market
17 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Prickly-Clasp-Discount
245 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 44¢ | $55K | — | +$70K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
3,684 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 82¢ | $30K | — | +$894 |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,825 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 81¢ | $25K | — | −$640 |
| Impure-Roundabout
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 96¢ | $23K | — | +$1.0K |
| Open-Fingernail-Bullet
123 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 88¢ | $20K | — | +$2.8K |
| 0x8191…da72
232 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 78¢ | $17K | — | +$5.0K |
| Glaring-Salt
1,666 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 74¢ | $13K | — | +$2.4K |
| Prestigious-Precedence
113 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 98¢ | $10K | — | +$205 |
| Unacceptable-Barn
105 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Under @ 92¢ | $3.2K | — | +$281 |
| Frivolous-Risk
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 91¢ | $2.0K | — | +$198 |
| Attractive-Pigsty-Leeway
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 92¢ | $2.0K | — | +$174 |
| Unripe-Harpooner-Bike
2 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.8K | — |
| Silky-Subroutine
224 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 94¢ | $1.4K | — | +$84 |
| Miserable-Poison
1,090 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Under @ 46¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.5K |
| Hollow-Maggot-Sense
1,123 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Over @ 42¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Soggy-Bibliography
24 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
| Delicious-Original
5 settled bets Too few bets |
Under @ 92¢ | $1.0K | — | +$87 |
Where the whale money went
-
Under won$194K94% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $1.8K sold
-
Over lost$13K6% of whale buying · 4 buyers · $1.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 11, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791874803).
More other markets the whales bet on
All Other →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will CA Mineiro win on 2026-10-11? | $75K | 3 | Won: Yes | |
| Will SC Internacional win on 2026-10-11? | $67K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Variational FDV above $1B one day after launch? | $76K | 19 | Open | |
| Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets from October 6 to October 13, 2026? | $69K | 6 | Won: No | |
| Will Texas enact a data center moratorium by December 31, 2027? | $81K | 8 | Open | |
| Will Cagliari Calcio win on 2026-10-11? | $72K | 9 | Won: No | |
| Will CA Platense win on 2026-10-11? | $58K | 7 | Won: No | |
| Will FC Arouca win on 2026-10-11? | $69K | 9 | Won: Yes |