Polymarket market · Sports

Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights

Resolved: Golden Knights won · See it on Polymarket ↗

16 whales put $157K into this market since Oct 8, 69% of their buying on Maple Leafs. Golden Knights won. Of the 13 whales whose whole position we captured, 8 made +$30K and 5 lost −$85K: −$55K between them.

The whales on this market

16 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Rural-Hunter-Rambler
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maple Leafs @ 39¢ $80K $11K −$69K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Golden Knights @ 58¢ $20K — +$14K
Lucky-Vision
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maple Leafs @ 47¢ $13K — −$13K
Whimsical-Cliff
39 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Golden Knights @ 62¢ $11K — +$6.6K
Cooked-Imprisonment
61 settled bets Worse than the odds
Golden Knights @ 60¢ $4.5K — +$3.0K
Exalted-Evocation
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Golden Knights @ 60¢ $1.5K $2.5K +$998
Indelible-Try
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Golden Knights @ 59¢ $2.1K — +$1.4K
Cumbersome-Rear
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.8K —
Grown-Difference-Burnout
125 settled bets Beat the odds*
Golden Knights @ 43¢ $1.7K — +$2.2K
Likely-Feedback
14 settled bets Too few bets
Maple Leafs @ 47¢ $1.4K — −$1.4K
Official-Arrogance
6 settled bets Too few bets
Golden Knights @ 63¢ $1.3K — +$740
Pitiful-Roster-Modernist
40 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.2K —
Everlasting-Aperitif
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maple Leafs @ 82¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Colossal-Dump
22 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.1K —
0x1e73…b728
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Maple Leafs @ 42¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K
Canine-Corporation-Bend
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Golden Knights @ 60¢ $1.0K — +$667

Where the whale money went

  1. Maple Leafs lost
    $96K
    69% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $11K sold
  2. Golden Knights won
    $43K
    31% of whale buying · 8 buyers · $6.6K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8 to Oct 9, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed