Lucky-Vision

0xc430e5b17128df7ce78d69fa28bc7de038641ebf

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$85K
return +39.3%
Settled bets
23
$217K staked
Won
52.2%
95% range 33%–71%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 21 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$91K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$2.1K Sep 20 – Oct 5: −$7.5K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 6 Bought Jets at 41¢
Jets vs. Penguins
Jets vs. Penguins $9.1K
Oct 6 Bought Jets at 40¢
Jets vs. Penguins
Jets vs. Penguins $6.9K
Oct 5 Bought Ducks at 49¢
Panthers vs. Ducks
Panthers vs. Ducks $14K
Oct 5 Bought Ducks at 49¢
Panthers vs. Ducks
Panthers vs. Ducks $2.8K
Oct 5 Bought Ducks at 49¢
Panthers vs. Ducks
Panthers vs. Ducks $3.2K
Oct 3 Bought Canadiens at 52¢
Canadiens vs. Penguins
Canadiens vs. Penguins $13K
Oct 1 Bought Sabres at 51¢
Sabres vs. Blue Jackets
Sabres vs. Blue Jackets $15K
Sep 19 Bought No at 41¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19?
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-09-19? $2.1K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed