0x1e73…b728
0x1e7353915b23b2ce0184eb5d4dd1ef0edb50b728
0x1e73…b728: −$4.7K on 15 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 42%–85%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$4.7K
return −19.5%
Settled bets
15
$24K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 42%–85%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 14 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$3.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY Qinwen Zheng
@ 97¢
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens |
China Open: Qinwen Zheng vs Elise Mertens | $1.5K |
| Oct 10 | BUY British Columbia Lions
@ 89¢
Ottawa Redblacks vs. British Columbia Lions |
Ottawa Redblacks vs. British Columbia Lions | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Ben Shelton
@ 94¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier |
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Ben Shelton vs Daniel Altmaier | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Maple Leafs
@ 42¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights |
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights | $1.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 99.25¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Buccaneers
@ 88¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $2.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Cowboys
@ 81¢
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys |
Buccaneers vs. Cowboys | $1.5K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Lorenzo Giustino
@ 89¢
Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino |
Palermo: Christian Langmo vs Lorenzo Giustino | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.