Cumbersome-Rear

0x5430791a10e94bb25395cd0cd06b6185d4081010

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Cumbersome-Rear: +$29 on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 33% (95% range 12%–65%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
+$29
return +0.6%
Settled bets
9
$4.6K staked
Won
33.3%
95% range 12%–65%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period
Sep 23 – Oct 11
+$29
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2% (2,094 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 SELL Golden Knights @ 99.9¢
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights
Maple Leafs vs. Golden Knights $1.8K
Oct 8 BUY Over @ 54¢
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5
Celtics vs. Cavaliers: O/U 222.5 $1.2K
Oct 6 BUY Daniil Glinka @ 61¢
Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin
Villena: Daniil Glinka vs Gauthier Onclin $1.0K
Oct 6 SELL Saitama Seibu Lions @ 41¢
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions $1.1K
Oct 6 SELL Saitama Seibu Lions @ 99.07¢
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions
Chiba Lotte Marines vs. Saitama Seibu Lions $1.0K
Oct 3 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5
CA Mineiro vs. Red Bull Bragantino: O/U 2.5 $1.3K
Oct 3 SELL Under @ 99.9¢
Tochigi City FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 3.5
Tochigi City FC vs. FC Imabari: O/U 3.5 $1.3K
Oct 3 SELL No @ 99.9¢
Colombia vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score
Colombia vs. Paraguay: Both Teams to Score $1.5K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed