Polymarket market · Sports

Spread: BAL (-8.5)

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $463K into this market since Sep 16, 51% of their buying on BAL. No won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$125K and 8 lost −$41K: +$84K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Ragged-Aspect-Earring
19 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 51¢ $214K $111K +$88K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
BAL @ 47¢ $46K — −$13K
Unkempt-Image
103 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $26K — +$18K
0x16bb…8492
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 51¢ $14K — +$13K
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 49¢ $11K — −$8.2K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 47¢ $6.6K — −$6.6K
Cuddly-Battalion
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 99.9¢ $6.4K — +$6
Scornful-West
151 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $5.1K —
Forthright-Canal
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 51¢ $5.0K — +$4.8K
Shoddy-Harmonise
68 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 58¢ $4.2K — −$4.2K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 49¢ $3.5K — −$3.5K
Direct-Tofu
12 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 49¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Obvious-Geyser-Cutlet
140 settled bets Can't tell from luck
BAL @ 50¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Polite-Age
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 75¢ $1.2K — +$398
Willing-Malnutrition
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 50¢ $1.2K — +$1.2K
Admirable-Loss
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.1K —
Sinful-Motor
6 settled bets Too few bets
BAL @ 50¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. BAL lost
    $177K
    51% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $112K sold
  2. No won
    $165K
    48% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $5.1K sold
  3. No lost
    $4.0K
    1% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 16 to Sep 20, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed