Polite-Age
0xe558bb7b02ea489d772bd34f14cc845e391fdcd2
Polite-Age: +$35K on 67 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 69% (95% range 57%–79%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$35K
return +5.9%
Settled bets
67
$591K staked
Won
68.7%
95% range 57%–79%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 67 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$43K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$4.7K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Knicks
@ 51¢
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) |
Spread: Knicks (-7.5) | $2.6K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Islanders
@ 49¢
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) |
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) | $3.1K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Rangers
@ 37¢
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) |
Spread: Rangers (-1.5) | $6.5K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Giants
@ 54¢
Cardinals vs. Giants |
Cardinals vs. Giants | $6.0K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Commanders
@ 43¢
Spread: Colts (-8.5) |
Spread: Colts (-8.5) | $2.3K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Over
@ 41¢
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5 |
Colts vs. Commanders: O/U 49.5 | $2.9K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Colts
@ 51¢
Spread: Colts (-16.5) |
Spread: Colts (-16.5) | $1.1K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Washington
@ 35¢
Washington vs. USC |
Washington vs. USC | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.