Sinful-Motor
0x8cbbf4e3d2d0b6fb7b684cf1f5ee12d79dfce8a8
Sinful-Motor: −$3.2K on 7 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 14% (95% range 3%–51%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.2K
return −58.3%
Settled bets
7
$5.4K staked
Won
14.3%
95% range 3%–51%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 5 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- −$2.1K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$1.1K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY BYU
@ 53¢
Spread: BYU (-10.5) |
Spread: BYU (-10.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 4 | BUY Lions
@ 53¢
Spread: Lions (-3.5) |
Spread: Lions (-3.5) | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Central Michigan
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) |
Spread: Central Michigan (-16.5) | $1.9K |
| Oct 3 | BUY South Florida
@ 47¢
Spread: South Florida (-6.5) |
Spread: South Florida (-6.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 20 | BUY BAL
@ 50¢
Spread: BAL (-8.5) |
Spread: BAL (-8.5) | $1.0K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Duke
@ 99.9¢
Spread: Duke (-8.5) |
Spread: Duke (-8.5) | $1.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Army
@ 48¢
Spread: Army (-3.5) |
Spread: Army (-3.5) | $1.1K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.