Willing-Malnutrition
0x602785cdf56a03221130d3d42a577ac6cf444320
Willing-Malnutrition: +$10K on 11 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 82% (95% range 52%–95%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$10K
return +31.2%
Settled bets
11
$32K staked
Won
81.8%
95% range 52%–95%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$3.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$13K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Devils
@ 68¢
Canucks vs. Devils |
Canucks vs. Devils | $1.3K |
| Oct 7 | BUY Iowa
@ 51¢
Spread: Washington (-3.5) |
Spread: Washington (-3.5) | $3.8K |
| Sep 26 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 |
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Yankees: O/U 7.5 | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 50¢
Spread: BAL (-8.5) |
Spread: BAL (-8.5) | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY TCU
@ 99.8¢
Grambling State vs. TCU |
Grambling State vs. TCU | $7.5K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Charlotte
@ 53¢
Spread: Ole Miss (-45.5) |
Spread: Ole Miss (-45.5) | $2.3K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Middle Tennessee
@ 52¢
Spread: Marshall (-12.5) |
Spread: Marshall (-12.5) | $9.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Colorado
@ 99¢
Weber State vs. Colorado |
Weber State vs. Colorado | $1.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.