Lost-Version-Function
Skill vs luck
Lost-Version-Function on Polymarket: 3 settled bets · won 67% (95% range 21%–94%) · profit +$1.0K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −10.4% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 27, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Lost-Version-Function: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 27, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x6bfd62982f6f8f30e17736c70dbc9f66857b44b4. Data CC BY 4.0.
Lost-Version-Function: +$1.0K on 3 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 21%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 3 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 10 – Oct 27
- +$1.0K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 26 | BUY Thunder @ 74¢ | Suns vs. Thunder ↗ | $1.5K |
| Oct 26 | BUY Thunder @ 74¢ | Suns vs. Thunder ↗ | $3.0K |
| Oct 25 | BUY Leylah Fernandez
@ 80¢
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume |
Pan Pacific Open: Leylah Fernandez vs Himeno Sakatsume | $1.1K |
| Oct 18 | BUY Alina Korneeva
@ 70¢
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva |
Ningbo Open, Qualification: Han Shi vs Alina Korneeva | $3.0K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Capitals
@ 53¢
Devils vs. Capitals |
Devils vs. Capitals | $1.6K |
| Oct 16 | BUY Capitals
@ 53¢
Devils vs. Capitals |
Devils vs. Capitals | $1.1K |
All 6 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?