Frivolous-Townhouse
Skill vs luck
Frivolous-Townhouse on Polymarket: 9 settled bets · won 89% (95% range 56%–98%) · profit +$8.5K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 24, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Frivolous-Townhouse: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 24, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x3f2c106ce6f2b22c5db52feba19be7dabc45db9d. Data CC BY 4.0.
Frivolous-Townhouse: +$8.5K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 89% (95% range 56%–98%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 7 – Oct 24
- +$8.5K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 23 | BUY CTBC Flying Oyster @ 42¢ | LoL: Team Liquid vs CTBC Flying Oyster (BO1) - Worlds Group Stage ↗ | $2.7K |
| Oct 23 | BUY TEC Esports
@ 84¢
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1 |
Valorant: TEC Esports vs Unsettled Resentment (BO3) - VCT Threshold China Week 1 | $1.8K |
| Oct 22 | BUY Eternal Fire
@ 79¢
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team George (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B |
Valorant: Eternal Fire vs Team George (BO3) - Project Blender Phase 2 Group B | $1.0K |
| Oct 20 | BUY Vitality Rising Bees
@ 60¢
LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: Vitality Rising Bees vs G2 HEL - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Oct 20 | SELL magic
@ 99.9¢
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: Liquid vs magic - Map 1 Winner | $9.9K |
| Oct 19 | BUY PARIVISION
@ 91¢
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 1 Winner |
Counter-Strike: PARIVISION vs magic - Map 1 Winner | $1.1K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Cloud9 @ 93¢ | LoL: Cloud9 vs Karmine Corp - Game 3 Winner ↗ | $2.0K |
| Oct 15 | BUY Team WE @ 44¢ | LoL: Team WE vs HANJIN BRION (BO5) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Playoffs ↗ | $1.2K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?