Breakable-Locality
0x3f7a2b27397d2d0036aed133eb5f5e8cf4560b7b
Breakable-Locality: +$131 on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 96% (95% range 80%–99%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$131
return +0.1%
Settled bets
24
$96K staked
Won
95.8%
95% range 80%–99%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 23 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$71
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$54
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- +$6
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Bruins
@ 99.9¢
Utah vs. Bruins |
Utah vs. Bruins | $2.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Houston Astros
@ 99.88¢
Houston Astros vs. Athletics |
Houston Astros vs. Athletics | $3.5K |
| Sep 20 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 99.9¢
Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Athletics vs. Cleveland Guardians | $6.0K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 99.8¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets |
Baltimore Orioles vs. New York Mets | $8.5K |
| Sep 16 | BUY San Francisco Giants
@ 99.82¢
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals |
San Francisco Giants vs. St. Louis Cardinals | $1.4K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Seattle Mariners
@ 99.9¢
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics |
Seattle Mariners vs. Athletics | $8.0K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 99.9¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves |
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Atlanta Braves | $6.4K |
| Sep 12 | BUY Milwaukee Brewers
@ 99.9¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Milwaukee Brewers | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.