Polymarket market · Sports
Hawks vs. Magic
Resolved: Hawks won · See it on Polymarket ↗
29 whales traded $140K on this market since Oct 20, 59% of their buying on Hawks. Copying their buys off the order book we recorded 79 seconds later would have cost 1.9¢ more per share, with 100% of the size there to buy. Hawks won, with 59% of the whale buying on it. Of the 25 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$14K and 14 lost −$47K: −$32K between them. Biggest win: Unkempt-Image, +$4.0K on Hawks. Biggest loss: Corrupt-Poisoning, −$17K on Magic.
The whales on this market
biggest 25 of 29| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Substantial-Service
913 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hawks @ 97¢ | $24K | — | +$736 |
| Illiterate-Counterforce
319 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 90¢ | $24K | — | −$1.7K |
| Corrupt-Poisoning
383 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 45¢ | $17K | — | −$17K |
| Devoted-Oats
76 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 61¢ | $3.4K | $10K | — |
| Next-Licensing
36 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 99.88¢ | $5.0K | — | +$6 |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,703 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Magic @ 56¢ | $5.0K | — | −$5.0K |
| Broken-Retouching
30 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $4.4K | — |
| Unacceptable-Barn
118 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 98¢ | $4.4K | — | +$89 |
| Dependable-Waterfront
444 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 41¢ | $4.1K | — | −$4.1K |
| Brisk-Clockwork-Behalf
4,438 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 45¢ | $4.0K | — | −$4.0K |
| Unkempt-Image
114 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 44¢ | $3.1K | — | +$4.0K |
| Infamous-Ocelot
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 45¢ | $3.0K | — | +$3.7K |
| Puny-Attachment
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Magic @ 26¢ | $3.0K | — | −$3.0K |
| Glass-Treat
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 97¢ | $2.9K | — | +$84 |
| Vigilant-Environment
179 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 48¢ | $2.4K | — | −$2.4K |
| Silky-Geometry
247 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 46¢ | $2.4K | — | +$2.8K |
| Grown-Difference-Burnout
249 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Magic @ 36¢ | $2.3K | — | +$145 |
| Wide-Swordfish-Latitude
61 settled bets Worse than the odds |
sold only | $0 | $2.1K | — |
| 0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3
37 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 56¢ | $1.9K | — | −$1.9K |
| Well-Made-Birch-Allergist
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 59¢ | $1.8K | — | −$1.8K |
| Incomplete-Suppression-Theory
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 55¢ | $1.6K | — | −$1.6K |
| Dirty-Burn
10 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 66¢ | $1.3K | — | −$1.3K |
| Ill-Fated-Clasp
24 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Hawks @ 52¢ | $1.3K | — | +$1.2K |
| Scornful-West
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Magic @ 56¢ | $1.1K | — | −$1.1K |
| Mean-Recruit-Idea
101 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Hawks @ 97¢ | $1.1K | — | +$32 |
Where the whale money went
-
Hawks won$72K59% of whale buying · 13 buyers · $17K sold
-
Magic lost$50K41% of whale buying · 15 buyers · $1.0K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 20 to Oct 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1792652408).
More sports markets the whales bet on
All Sports →| Market | Whale money | Whales | Result | Last whale bet |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bucks vs. Wizards | $115K | 19 | Won: Wizards | |
| Spread: Trail Blazers (-3.5) | $75K | 5 | Won: Trail Blazers | |
| Timberwolves vs. Heat | $152K | 16 | Won: Timberwolves | |
| Hornets vs. Nets | $438K | 26 | Won: Hornets | |
| Jazz vs. Grizzlies | $276K | 10 | Won: Grizzlies | |
| Spread: Clippers (-4.5) | $58K | 6 | Won: Clippers | |
| Spread: Pacers (-3.5) | $51K | 7 | Won: Pelicans | |
| Pacers vs. Pelicans | $121K | 23 | Won: Pacers |
The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?