0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

0x9f15613ebf1f36d4bc679e1211d1fc567cf9bdb3

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗
Profit
+$136K
return +35.3%
Settled bets
33
$385K staked
Won
60.6%
95% range 44%–75%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 28 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Aug 20 – Sep 4: +$83K Sep 4 – Sep 20: +$13K Sep 20 – Oct 5: +$40K
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 Bought Under at 70¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 60.5
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 60.5 $2.8K
Sep 27 Bought Under at 68¢
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 59.5
Ravens vs. Cowboys: O/U 59.5 $3.6K
Sep 25 Sold Chiefs at 84¢
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Chiefs vs. Dolphins $48K
Sep 25 Bought Chiefs at 85¢
Chiefs vs. Dolphins
Chiefs vs. Dolphins $48K
Sep 24 Bought Packers at 70¢
Falcons vs. Packers
Falcons vs. Packers $9.9K
Sep 20 Bought Over at 42¢
Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5
Inter Miami CF vs. San Diego FC: O/U 4.5 $2.1K
Sep 20 Bought Over at 48¢
Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5
Dolphins vs. 49ers: O/U 45.5 $2.0K
Sep 20 Bought Steelers at 32¢
Steelers vs. Patriots
Steelers vs. Patriots $9.4K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*) · computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed