Ill-Fated-Clasp
0xd501b25cf3d72eb3e08edfa974549e4b201ab86e
Ill-Fated-Clasp: +$7.5K on 10 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 31%–83%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$7.5K
return +23.0%
Settled bets
10
$33K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 31%–83%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$6.1K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$796
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- +$2.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY 100 Thieves
@ 61¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $2.3K |
| Oct 9 | SELL Paper Rex
@ 97¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $8.0K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Paper Rex
@ 66¢
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: T1 vs Paper Rex (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $11K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Team Vitality
@ 64¢
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs |
Valorant: Team Vitality vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs | $9.6K |
| Oct 6 | SELL HANJIN BRION
@ 99.9¢
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: HANJIN BRION vs Natus Vincere - Game 2 Winner | $25K |
| Oct 4 | BUY KT Rolster
@ 93¢
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner |
LoL: RED Canids vs KT Rolster - Game 2 Winner | $12K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Team WE
@ 75¢
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: GAM Esports vs Team WE (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $3.8K |
| Oct 3 | SELL BNK FEARX
@ 99.9¢
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage |
LoL: Team Vitality vs BNK FEARX (BO1) - Demacia Cup Global Invitational Group Stage | $8.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.