Rubbery-Fingerling
0xa7e8df8bb30e17514cebe26091ddefdf85ce5c8c
Rubbery-Fingerling: −$12K on 17 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 35% (95% range 17%–59%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$12K
return −28.2%
Settled bets
17
$42K staked
Won
35.3%
95% range 17%–59%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 13 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.4K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$4.6K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$5.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 3 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 58¢
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians |
Chicago White Sox vs. Cleveland Guardians | $4.9K |
| Sep 26 | BUY San Francisco Giants
@ 29¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. San Francisco Giants | $1.0K |
| Sep 24 | SELL Baltimore Orioles
@ 99.9¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | $3.8K |
| Sep 17 | BUY Texas Rangers
@ 48¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers |
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers | $1.9K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Cincinnati Reds
@ 36¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds |
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds | $1.1K |
| Sep 16 | BUY Houston Astros
@ 61¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros |
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | BUY No
@ 55¢
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25 bps after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Sep 16 | SELL Minnesota Twins
@ 99.9¢
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins |
New York Yankees vs. Minnesota Twins | $23K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.