Victorious-Carpenter

0x9c214c94bace1199f430b91659f7a443a645a807

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Victorious-Carpenter: −$1.2K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 22% (95% range 6%–55%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.2K
return −20.2%
Settled bets
9
$5.7K staked
Won
22.2%
95% range 6%–55%
Mostly bets on
other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Sep 4 – Sep 20
−$1.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 7 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06?
Will Argentina win on 2026-10-06? $1.8K
Sep 17 SELL No @ 97¢
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election?
Will United Russia win fewer than 280 seats in the next Russian State Duma election? $1.6K
Sep 17 SELL Florent Bax @ 97¢
Phan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent Bax
Phan Thiet 4: Martin Borisiouk vs Florent Bax $1.7K
Sep 17 SELL Kansas City Royals @ 99.9¢
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros
Kansas City Royals vs. Houston Astros $1.5K
Sep 17 SELL Texas Rangers @ 99.9¢
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers
Boston Red Sox vs. Texas Rangers $1.4K
Sep 17 SELL Cincinnati Reds @ 99.9¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds $1.3K
Sep 17 BUY Cincinnati Reds @ 96¢
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds
Los Angeles Dodgers vs. Cincinnati Reds $1.3K
Sep 17 SELL Yes @ 99.9¢
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-27?
Will Once Caldas win on 2026-08-27? $1.3K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed