Unwilling-Pride
0xc24fc1414aedfdc5406fa31e85cfed26704d087f
Unwilling-Pride: −$5.7K on 47 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 79% (95% range 65%–88%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$5.7K
return −5.9%
Settled bets
47
$98K staked
Won
78.7%
95% range 65%–88%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 41 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$145
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$2
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$5.9K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 9 | BUY Pakistan
@ 92¢
Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka |
Sri Lanka Tour of Pakistan T20s: Pakistan vs Sri Lanka | $1.4K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 99.8¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $2.9K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Cleveland Guardians
@ 99.69¢
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox |
Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox | $2.4K |
| Oct 7 | BUY West Indies Women
@ 90¢
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women |
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women | $1.6K |
| Oct 6 | BUY India
@ 96¢
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies |
West Indies Tour of India T20s: India vs West Indies | $1.9K |
| Oct 6 | BUY Australia A
@ 84¢
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A |
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A | $3.4K |
| Oct 6 | BUY India A
@ 92¢
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A |
Australia A Tour of India Unofficial ODIs: India A vs Australia A | $1.3K |
| Oct 5 | BUY West Indies Women
@ 95¢
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women |
West Indies Women Tour of Zimbabwe T20s: Zimbabwe Women vs West Indies Women | $1.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.