Polymarket market · Sports

Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners

Resolved: Seattle Mariners won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $166K into this market since Sep 23, 70% of their buying on Seattle Mariners. Seattle Mariners won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 11 made +$79K and 8 lost −$43K: +$36K between them.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Pertinent-Advantage-Speedboat
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 58¢ $49K — +$36K
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Houston Astros @ 56¢ $23K — −$23K
Snappy-Basketball
246 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 55¢ $20K — +$16K
Stale-Glue
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 42¢ $9.2K — +$13K
Grateful-Chest
183 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 53¢ $2.7K $5.3K —
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 56¢ $7.1K — −$7.1K
Angelic-Juggernaut
23 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 58¢ $7.0K — +$5.1K
Humongous-Bun
77 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 57¢ $3.0K $3.1K +$111
Bruised-Downfall
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 56¢ $5.4K — −$5.4K
Winding-Background
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 58¢ $4.5K — +$3.3K
Baggy-Illustration
167 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 81¢ $2.2K $1.6K −$581
Immense-Sitar
120 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 53¢ $1.7K $1.8K +$159
Better-Naming
24 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 58¢ $3.5K — +$2.5K
Glass-Scam
24 settled bets Beat the odds*
Seattle Mariners @ 58¢ $3.5K — +$2.5K
Shy-Wake-Pail
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 52¢ $1.5K $1.7K —
Fake-Bitter
995 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 45¢ $2.8K — −$2.8K
0x9a3f…914a
54 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 75¢ $1.5K — −$1.5K
Grimy-Vibrissae
56 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Seattle Mariners @ 60¢ $1.2K — +$800
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 83¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Jolly-Felony
11 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Houston Astros @ 47¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K
Dependable-Waterfront
384 settled bets Beat the odds*
Seattle Mariners @ 98¢ $1.1K — +$23

Where the whale money went

  1. Seattle Mariners won
    $107K
    70% of whale buying · 12 buyers · $10K sold
  2. Houston Astros lost
    $46K
    30% of whale buying · 9 buyers · $3.4K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Sep 23 to Sep 24, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed