Pertinent-Advantage-Speedboat

0x2dc13c6bda81b202281e796953a7323de675b33c

Polymarket

Can't tell from luck Check it on Polymarket ↗

Pertinent-Advantage-Speedboat: +$93K on 29 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 59% (95% range 41%–75%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.

Profit
+$93K
return +9.4%
Settled bets
29
$997K staked
Won
58.6%
95% range 41%–75%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 29 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
+$32K
Sep 4 – Sep 20
+$89K
Sep 20 – Oct 5
−$28K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Sep 27 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 65¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners $9.7K
Sep 27 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 65¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners $15K
Sep 27 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 65¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners $16K
Sep 27 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 65¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners $9.0K
Sep 24 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 43¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies $3.4K
Sep 24 BUY Philadelphia Phillies @ 42¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies $8.4K
Sep 24 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 58¢
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners $15K
Sep 24 BUY Seattle Mariners @ 58¢
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners $15K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed