Better-Naming
0x44f28d48e7c0f41b822407236388212389ec7449
Better-Naming: −$3.6K on 24 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 54% (95% range 35%–72%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
−$3.6K
return −5.4%
Settled bets
24
$67K staked
Won
54.2%
95% range 35%–72%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 24 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$181
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- +$1.5K
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$5.3K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 27 | BUY Seattle Mariners
@ 65¢
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners |
Los Angeles Angels vs. Seattle Mariners | $3.5K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Seattle Mariners
@ 58¢
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners |
Houston Astros vs. Seattle Mariners | $3.5K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Toronto Blue Jays
@ 45¢
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles |
Toronto Blue Jays vs. Baltimore Orioles | $3.6K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 68¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Atlanta Braves | $3.5K |
| Sep 22 | BUY New York Yankees
@ 54¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | $3.5K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Philadelphia Phillies
@ 64¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $3.5K |
| Sep 22 | BUY Tampa Bay Rays
@ 46¢
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees |
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY Baltimore Orioles
@ 38¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Baltimore Orioles | $3.5K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.