Polymarket market · Sports

Cleveland Guardians vs. Chicago White Sox

Resolved: Cleveland Guardians won · See it on Polymarket ↗

17 whales put $188K into this market since Oct 6, 78% of their buying on Cleveland Guardians. Cleveland Guardians won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 10 made +$44K and 5 lost −$29K: +$15K between them.

The whales on this market

17 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Well-Worn-Framework-Inlay
18 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $55K —
Enchanting-Glass
7 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 99.9¢ $44K — +$44
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cleveland Guardians @ 47¢ $16K — +$18K
Taut-Semicolon
181 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago White Sox @ 54¢ $15K — −$15K
Trivial-Ravioli
249 settled bets Worse than the odds
Cleveland Guardians @ 99¢ $9.9K — +$100
Verifiable-Rip
12 settled bets Too few bets
Cleveland Guardians @ 47¢ $8.0K — +$9.0K
Wordy-Littleneck
322 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 48¢ $6.2K — +$6.7K
Spiffy-Opportunity-Engagement
427 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago White Sox @ 53¢ $6.1K — −$6.1K
Distant-Pomelo
158 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 84¢ $5.5K — +$1.1K
Ugly-Laboratory
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 81¢ $4.9K — +$1.1K
Sweet-Number
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago White Sox @ 69¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Menacing-Core-Rear
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $4.0K —
Ignorant-Shaw-Ego
100 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 42¢ $2.0K — +$2.8K
Kosher-Refuse
309 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 47¢ $2.0K — +$2.2K
Joyous-Interpreter
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago White Sox @ 54¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Shy-Wake-Pail
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cleveland Guardians @ 42¢ $1.6K — +$2.2K
Likable-Workforce
17 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Chicago White Sox @ 54¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K

Where the whale money went

  1. Cleveland Guardians won
    $100K
    78% of whale buying · 10 buyers · $55K sold
  2. Chicago White Sox lost
    $29K
    22% of whale buying · 5 buyers · $4.0K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 6 to Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
Braga: Mackenzie McDonald vs Ryan Nijboer $107K 14 Won: Ryan Nijboer
Tampa Bay Rays vs. New York Yankees $59K 10 Won: Tampa Bay Rays
Antofagasta: Joao Lucas Da Silva vs Guido Justo $248K 9 Won: Joao Lucas Da Silva
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier $156K 22 Won: Daniel Altmaier
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina $74K 8 Won: Elina Svitolina
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova $62K 6 Won: Nikola Bartunkova
Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi $76K 8 Won: Polina Iatcenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic $127K 12 Won: Arthur Fery
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed