Polymarket market · Sports
China Open: Karolina Muchova vs Nikola Bartunkova
Resolved: Nikola Bartunkova won · See it on Polymarket ↗
6 whales put $62K into this market since Oct 8, 51% of their buying on Karolina Muchova. Nikola Bartunkova won. Of the 4 whales whose whole position we captured, 2 made +$1.2K and 2 lost −$24K: −$23K between them.
The whales on this market
6 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Quixotic-Brow
128 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $31K | — |
| Meager-Flair-Wait
54 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Karolina Muchova @ 59¢ | $15K | — | −$15K |
| Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Nikola Bartunkova @ 97¢ | $9.4K | — | −$9.4K |
| Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Nikola Bartunkova @ 93¢ | $3.3K | — | +$247 |
| Pointless-Illustration
6 settled bets Too few bets |
Nikola Bartunkova @ 60¢ | $1.5K | — | +$1.0K |
| Lustrous-Feed
53 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
sold only | $0 | $1.0K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Karolina Muchova lost$15K51% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Nikola Bartunkova lost$9.4K32% of whale buying · 1 buyer
-
Nikola Bartunkova won$4.8K16% of whale buying · 2 buyers · $32K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 8, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the run (1791710133).