Verifiable-Rip

0xa22b401134ab14f9de70809b625428f8c5c73525

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Verifiable-Rip: −$255 on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$255
return −3.8%
Settled bets
4
$6.8K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
esports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 4 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$255
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Oct 9 BUY FURIA @ 47¢
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs
Counter-Strike: FURIA vs MOUZ (BO3) - ESL Pro League Playoffs $6.5K
Oct 9 SELL Yi Zhou @ 34¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti $4.1K
Oct 9 BUY Nongshim RedForce @ 40¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce (BO3) - VCT Champions Playoffs $12K
Oct 9 SELL Nongshim RedForce @ 99.9¢
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner
Valorant: 100 Thieves vs Nongshim RedForce - Map 2 Winner $12K
Oct 9 BUY Yi Zhou @ 29¢
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yi Zhou vs Lorenzo Musetti $5.0K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 41¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora (BO3) - BLAST Slam Playoffs $8.5K
Oct 9 SELL Aurora @ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $22K
Oct 9 BUY Aurora @ 45¢
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner
Dota 2: Team Spirit vs Aurora - Game 2 Winner $9.7K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed