Polymarket market · Sports

Shanghai Rolex Masters: Arthur Fery vs Marin Cilic

Resolved: Arthur Fery won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $127K into this market since Oct 7, 60% of their buying on Arthur Fery. Arthur Fery won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$19K and 4 lost −$48K: −$29K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
Marin Cilic @ 39¢ $39K — −$39K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fery @ 85¢ $31K — +$2.0K
Shameless-Fifth-Ridge
9 settled bets Too few bets
Arthur Fery @ 61¢ $17K — +$11K
Powerless-Savannah
2,455 settled bets Beat the odds*
Arthur Fery @ 93¢ $10K — +$785
Frozen-Birdwatcher
80 settled bets Worse than the odds
Arthur Fery @ 99.9¢ $7.1K — +$7
Vacant-Exposition-Rosemary
16 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fery @ 95¢ $6.1K — +$319
Recent-Tophat-Analogue
10 settled bets Too few bets
Marin Cilic @ 40¢ $4.3K — −$4.3K
Sweet-Number
94 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fery @ 57¢ $3.5K — +$2.6K
Glaring-Salt
1,604 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Marin Cilic @ 33¢ $3.3K — −$3.3K
Horrible-Recording
14 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Arthur Fery @ 65¢ $2.9K — +$1.6K
Ready-Airbus-Honor
9 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.9K —
Hopeful-Category
1 settled bets Too few bets
Marin Cilic @ 42¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Arthur Fery won
    $75K
    60% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $1.9K sold
  2. Marin Cilic lost
    $51K
    40% of whale buying · 5 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Oct 7, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

More sports markets the whales bet on

All Sports →
MarketWhale moneyWhales ResultLast whale bet
China Open: Alina Charaeva vs Qinwen Zheng $113K 18 Won: Qinwen Zheng
Samsun: Polina Iatcenko vs Dalma Galfi $76K 8 Won: Polina Iatcenko
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Mattia Bellucci vs Yi Zhou $69K 13 Won: Yi Zhou
China Open: Ann Li vs Elina Svitolina $74K 8 Won: Elina Svitolina
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Holger Rune vs Daniel Altmaier $156K 22 Won: Daniel Altmaier
Braga: Marco Cecchinato vs Olle Wallin $80K 6 Won: Olle Wallin
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Yibing Wu vs Michael Zheng $52K 12 Won: Yibing Wu
Shanghai Rolex Masters: Quentin Halys vs Coleman Wong $57K 8 Won: Quentin Halys
About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed