Polymarket market · Sports

Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants

Resolved: Cincinnati Reds won · See it on Polymarket ↗

20 whales put $134K into this market since Aug 26, 57% of their buying on San Francisco Giants. Cincinnati Reds won. Of the 15 whales whose whole position we captured, 6 made +$25K and 9 lost −$54K: −$29K between them.

The whales on this market

20 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Powerless-Savannah
2,259 settled bets Beat the odds*
Cincinnati Reds @ 43¢ $28K — +$16K
Illiterate-Counterforce
254 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Francisco Giants @ 78¢ $20K — −$11K
Elastic-Shoat-Ratepayer
10 settled bets Too few bets
San Francisco Giants @ 66¢ $14K — −$14K
Cool-Spiderling
12 settled bets Too few bets
San Francisco Giants @ 96¢ $10K — −$10K
Black-And-White-Summit
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 99.87¢ $9.4K — +$12
Trusting-Earnings
8 settled bets Too few bets
Cincinnati Reds @ 86¢ $7.4K — +$1.2K
Droopy-Molar
11 settled bets Too few bets
San Francisco Giants @ 44¢ $2.2K $4.8K —
0x16bb…8492
133 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Francisco Giants @ 52¢ $6.2K — −$6.2K
Well-Worn-Slaw
93 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 46¢ $5.0K — +$5.9K
Unwieldy-Supporter
432 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Francisco Giants @ 51¢ $4.7K — −$4.7K
Kaleidoscopic-Sermon
2 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $3.2K —
Lively-Stirfry
65 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.0K —
Imaginary-Gallery
230 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Cincinnati Reds @ 55¢ $2.5K — +$2.0K
Lovely-Orchard-Stool
87 settled bets Worse than the odds
San Francisco Giants @ 45¢ $2.4K — −$2.4K
0xf2e3…31c9
8 settled bets Too few bets
San Francisco Giants @ 97¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Blissful-Difficulty
15 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Francisco Giants @ 45¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Natural-Spike
8 settled bets Too few bets
Cincinnati Reds @ 86¢ $1.8K — +$291
Well-Made-Sovereignty
106 settled bets Can't tell from luck
San Francisco Giants @ 51¢ $1.6K — −$1.6K
Alienated-Adaptation-Likelihood
1 settled bets Too few bets
sold only $0 $1.5K —
Pitiful-Roster-Modernist
38 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $1.5K —

Where the whale money went

  1. San Francisco Giants lost
    $69K
    57% of whale buying · 11 buyers · $4.8K sold
  2. Cincinnati Reds won
    $51K
    43% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $9.1K sold

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed