Kaleidoscopic-Sermon

0x14e4922c67c3fbd7eb21dfbbda9d8b090f133e2b

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Kaleidoscopic-Sermon: −$1.9K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit
−$1.9K
return —
Settled bets
2
$0 staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
sports

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by 2 weeks
Aug 20 – Sep 4
−$1.9K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0% (2,053 positions).

Latest captured bets

WhenBetMarketSize
Aug 26 SELL Cincinnati Reds @ 72¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants $3.2K
Aug 25 SELL Seattle Mariners @ 82¢
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners
Philadelphia Phillies vs. Seattle Mariners $2.8K

All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed