Natural-Spike
0xcd5a66d4f308f93d5dde2c3e132fdd97c1f82351
Natural-Spike: +$3.1K on 8 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 63% (95% range 31%–86%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$3.1K
return +20.2%
Settled bets
8
$15K staked
Won
62.5%
95% range 31%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$3.1K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | BUY Colorado Rockies
@ 44¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies |
Baltimore Orioles vs. Colorado Rockies | $2.4K |
| Aug 30 | BUY Aurora Gaming
@ 66¢
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner |
Counter-Strike: M80 vs Aurora Gaming - Map 2 Winner | $3.1K |
| Aug 29 | BUY No
@ 80¢
Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? |
Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | $1.1K |
| Aug 27 | BUY St. Louis Cardinals
@ 85¢
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals |
Baltimore Orioles vs. St. Louis Cardinals | $1.1K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Cincinnati Reds
@ 86¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants |
Cincinnati Reds vs. San Francisco Giants | $1.8K |
| Aug 26 | BUY PCIFIC
@ 88¢
LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL Playoffs |
LoL: PCIFIC vs Team Phoenix (BO5) - TCL Playoffs | $2.2K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Cincinnati Reds
@ 42¢
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks |
Cincinnati Reds vs. Arizona Diamondbacks | $1.1K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Team Spirit
@ 70¢
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs |
Dota 2: BoomBoys vs Team Spirit (BO3) - The International Playoffs | $2.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.