Polymarket market · Sports
Winston-Salem Open: Juan Manuel Cerundolo vs Sebastian Baez
Resolved: Juan Manuel Cerundolo won · See it on Polymarket ↗
12 whales put $118K into this market since Aug 26, 67% of their buying on Sebastian Baez. Juan Manuel Cerundolo won. Of the 8 whales whose whole position we captured, 3 made +$18K and 5 lost −$54K: −$37K between them.
The whales on this market
12 whales| Whale · record | Backed | Bought | Sold | Made on it |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Glaring-Salt
1,449 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 59¢ | $34K | — | −$4.4K |
| Stable-Armament
60 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 61¢ | $20K | — | −$20K |
| Flamboyant-Hummus-Advance
29 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Sebastian Baez @ 60¢ | $14K | — | −$14K |
| Shameful-Delay
119 settled bets Worse than the odds |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 59¢ | $1.4K | $11K | — |
| Rash-Copying
124 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 35¢ | $11K | — | −$11K |
| Criminal-Meatball
33 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 42¢ | $7.9K | — | +$11K |
| 0xe98c…8792
43 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 54¢ | $1.6K | $4.6K | — |
| Dry-Gather
26 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Sebastian Baez @ 59¢ | $4.6K | — | −$4.6K |
| Shadowy-Eardrum-Skyline
10 settled bets Too few bets |
sold only | $0 | $2.9K | — |
| Hateful-Chord
157 settled bets Beat the odds* |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 41¢ | $2.7K | — | +$3.9K |
| Warped-Scholar
132 settled bets Can't tell from luck |
Juan Manuel Cerundolo @ 42¢ | $2.0K | — | +$2.7K |
| Scornful-Gym-Retreat
163 settled bets Beat the odds* |
sold only | $0 | $1.1K | — |
Where the whale money went
-
Sebastian Baez lost$67K67% of whale buying · 5 buyers
-
Juan Manuel Cerundolo won$32K33% of whale buying · 6 buyers · $19K sold
From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 26, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.
Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).