Stingy-Waterfront

0x60c1f86859f2724effffffd4cae4bb0259190438

Skill vs luck

Stingy-Waterfront on Polymarket: 6 settled bets · won 83% (95% range 44%–97%) · profit −$5.7K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned −11.3% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 19, 2026.

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Cite: Hopium Games, “Stingy-Waterfront: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 19, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x60c1f86859f2724effffffd4cae4bb0259190438. Data CC BY 4.0.

Polymarket

Too few bets Check it on Polymarket ↗

Stingy-Waterfront: −$5.7K on 6 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 83% (95% range 44%–97%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.

Profit

−$5.7K

return −14.4%

Settled bets

$40K staked

Won

83.3%

95% range 44%–97%

Mostly bets on

other

Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.

Profit by period

Sep 19 – Oct 4: +$3.6K
Oct 4 – Oct 19: −$9.3K

Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.

Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −11.3% (1,931 positions).

Latest captured bets

When	Bet	Market	Size
Oct 17	BUY Yes @ 71¢ Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? ↗	$3.4K
Oct 17	BUY Yes @ 69¢ Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17?	Will Villarreal CF win on 2026-10-17? ↗	$9.2K
Oct 11	BUY Yes @ 82¢ Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	$4.3K
Oct 11	BUY Yes @ 73¢ Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	$2.5K
Oct 11	BUY Yes @ 73¢ Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	Will Real Racing Club vs. Valencia CF end in a draw?	$1.1K
Oct 11	BUY Yes @ 82¢ Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	Will US Sassuolo Calcio vs. AC Milan end in a draw?	$5.1K
Oct 1	BUY Yes @ 86¢ Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?	Will Azerbaijan vs. Liechtenstein end in a draw?	$2.9K
Sep 29	BUY Yes @ 84¢ Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw?	Will Finland vs. Belarus end in a draw?	$2.8K

Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.

The bigger picture: Does copying Polymarket whales pay? · Do Polymarket whales make money?

About this data · run 1792393220, computed 2026-10-19 07:00 UTC

Source: hopium_compute run 1792393220 (PG metrics_*)

Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
latest window has the most unresolved markets
Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed