Vivacious-Specialist
0x2ce00a557986c7484857152e91b2af9e004597af
Vivacious-Specialist: −$11K on 20 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 30%–70%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$11K
return −23.7%
Settled bets
20
$45K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 30%–70%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 9 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$4.5K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$6.2K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 8 | BUY Frances Tiafoe
@ 61¢
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen |
US Open ATP: Frances Tiafoe vs Alex Michelsen | $1.2K |
| Sep 6 | BUY Yes
@ 77¢
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? |
Will FC Barcelona win on 2026-09-06? | $1.1K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Yes
@ 34¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? | $1.1K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Yes
@ 85¢
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? |
Will FC Bayern München win on 2026-09-05? | $2.7K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Atlanta Braves
@ 99.9¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $4.4K |
| Sep 5 | BUY Atlanta Braves
@ 73¢
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies |
Atlanta Braves vs. Philadelphia Phillies | $3.2K |
| Sep 5 | SELL Milwaukee Brewers
@ 31¢
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds |
Milwaukee Brewers vs. Cincinnati Reds | $3.1K |
| Sep 2 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-02? |
Will Chelsea FC win on 2026-09-02? | $4.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.