Capital-Melody-Meatball
0xeec74d14114335018005df1da5fe731d14e5ab6f
Capital-Melody-Meatball: −$2 on 5 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 60% (95% range 23%–88%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$2
return −0.0%
Settled bets
5
$11K staked
Won
60.0%
95% range 23%–88%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- −$2
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 99.8¢
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 10? |
Will Bitcoin reach $85,000 on October 10? | $5.4K |
| Oct 10 | SELL No
@ 99¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 10? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $78,000 and $80,000 on October 10? | $3.6K |
| Oct 10 | SELL Yes
@ 99.8¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | $5.8K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.6¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | $2.7K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.5¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 9? | $2.3K |
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 98¢
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? |
Will the International Criminal Court win the Nobel Peace Prize in 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? |
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $80,000 on October 8? | $4.2K |
All 7 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.