Superficial-Ticket
0x82c8ad5a1ef2e35b497bfe95af7794b4d91ea5db
Superficial-Ticket: −$43K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 11% (95% range 2%–44%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$43K
return −36.6%
Settled bets
9
$118K staked
Won
11.1%
95% range 2%–44%
Mostly bets on
sports
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 8 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$43K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 29¢
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? |
Will Liverpool FC win on 2026-08-29? | $6.5K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Under
@ 19¢
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5 |
Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC: O/U 1.5 | $7.2K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 23¢
Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? |
Will Liverpool FC vs. Nottingham Forest FC end in a draw? | $14K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Yes
@ 14¢
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? |
Will Nottingham Forest FC win on 2026-08-29? | $7.0K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Liverpool FC
@ 25¢
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) |
Spread: Liverpool FC (-2.5) | $7.0K |
| Aug 26 | SELL Under
@ 37¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | $14K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Under
@ 48¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | $18K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 28¢
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? |
Will Brighton & Hove Albion FC vs. Aston Villa FC end in a draw? | $23K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.