Insubstantial-Sector
0x6ab434242be94f834de8d38ba2de0b4cbfdaa81b
Insubstantial-Sector: +$1.2K on 33 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 50%–80%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$1.2K
return +2.5%
Settled bets
33
$49K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 50%–80%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 20 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$170
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$1.2K
- Sep 23 – Oct 11
- −$142
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 10 | SELL Over
@ 88¢
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 |
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ittihad Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Al Ahli Saudi Club
@ 99.58¢
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-3.5) |
Spread: Al Ahli Saudi Club (-3.5) | $1.3K |
| Oct 9 | BUY Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? |
Will Beijing Guoan FC win on 2026-10-09? | $1.2K |
| Oct 3 | BUY Over
@ 99.9¢
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 2.5 |
CSyD Defensa y Justicia vs. CA San Lorenzo de Almagro: 1st Half O/U 2.5 | $1.1K |
| Oct 3 | SELL Yes
@ 99.9¢
Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-03? |
Will UD Almería win on 2026-10-03? | $1.0K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Over
@ 99¢
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5 |
Los Angeles Galaxy vs. Colorado Rapids SC: Los Angeles Galaxy O/U 1.5 | $2.9K |
| Sep 25 | BUY Yes
@ 99.78¢
Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? |
Will Curaçao win on 2026-09-24? | $2.7K |
| Sep 23 | BUY Operário Ferroviário EC
@ 99.76¢
Spread: Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5) |
Spread: Operário Ferroviário EC (-1.5) | $1.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.