Short-Term-Echidna-Sorrow
0x6c817d646358c58963e6ebeb2cb41c3f4c8398b7
Short-Term-Echidna-Sorrow: +$11K on 12 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 67% (95% range 39%–86%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$11K
return +40.7%
Settled bets
12
$27K staked
Won
66.7%
95% range 39%–86%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 10 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- +$11K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 2 | SELL Yes
@ 59¢
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 Venezia FC? |
Exact Score: Udinese Calcio 2 - 1 Venezia FC? | $1.1K |
| Sep 1 | BUY Over
@ 44¢
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Al Hilal Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $2.5K |
| Aug 29 | BUY Under
@ 47¢
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 |
Al Kholood Saudi Club vs. Al Ahli Saudi Club: O/U 2.5 | $3.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Over
@ 50¢
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 |
Al Nassr Saudi Club vs. Al Taawoun Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | $2.0K |
| Aug 28 | BUY Over
@ 47¢
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 |
Al Khaleej Saudi Club vs. Al Hilal Saudi Club: O/U 3.5 | $3.0K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Over
@ 48¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: O/U 3.5 | $1.5K |
| Aug 26 | BUY Over
@ 49¢
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Real Madrid CF vs. Real Sociedad de Fútbol: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $3.0K |
| Aug 25 | BUY Over
@ 54¢
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 |
Al Ettifaq Saudi Club vs. Al Nassr Saudi Club: 1st Half O/U 1.5 | $3.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.