Grubby-Chandelier
0x2c3928af89565c352afe8e2a1b25deed77a056dc
Grubby-Chandelier: +$1.6K on 9 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 78% (95% range 45%–94%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$1.6K
return +10.5%
Settled bets
9
$15K staked
Won
77.8%
95% range 45%–94%
Mostly bets on
crypto
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 6 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$3.1K
- Sep 6 – Sep 23
- +$4.7K
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −9.2%
(2,094 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 8 | BUY No
@ 88¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 15, 2026? | $1.0K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 62¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through November 15? | $1.5K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 95¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 12? | $1.1K |
| Oct 8 | BUY Yes
@ 70¢
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $10K |
| Oct 7 | SELL No
@ 84¢
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? |
Will the U.S. invade Iran before 2027? | $8.4K |
| Sep 30 | BUY Yes
@ 73¢
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? |
Will an AI lab announce another Millennium Prize solution by December 31, 2027? | $2.5K |
| Sep 28 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? |
Will Donald Trump be TIME Person of the Year 2026? | $2.8K |
| Sep 24 | BUY Yes
@ 37¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by October 31, 2026? | $2.4K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.