Sticky-Closing
0x6bab66c4bb24c96ed14dcca0f0979b38a6830fe5
Sticky-Closing: −$1.6K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$1.6K
return −152.2%
Settled bets
2
$1.0K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.6K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 5 | BUY No
@ 77¢
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Will Likud win fewer than 20 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $2.8K |
| Sep 30 | SELL No
@ 42¢
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? |
US announces end of Iranian blockade by December 31, 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 29 | BUY No
@ 85¢
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? |
Israel military action against Greater Beirut by October 31? | $1.8K |
| Sep 13 | BUY Yes
@ 39¢
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? |
Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? | $1.6K |
| Sep 5 | SELL No
@ 83¢
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? |
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by December 31, 2026? | $1.7K |
| Aug 28 | SELL No
@ 76¢
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? |
Mojtaba Khamenei seen in public by December 31? | $1.5K |
| Aug 23 | BUY Yes
@ 74¢
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? |
Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? | $1.2K |
| Aug 22 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? |
Will no qualifying diplomatic US-Iran meeting occur by September 30, 2026? | $1.0K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.