Downright-Brushing
Skill vs luck
Downright-Brushing on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 100% (95% range 21%–100%) · profit +$11. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +0.2% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 3, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Downright-Brushing: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 3, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xebd131d03a4641fe691488d533bef842967b7c44. Data CC BY 4.0.
Downright-Brushing: +$11 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 21%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 1 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 19 – Nov 3
- +$11
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 2 | BUY Yes @ 99.1¢ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through November 2? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 31 | BUY Yes @ 99.3¢ | Israel x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | $1.5K |
All 2 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.