Aged-Pawnshop
Skill vs luck
Aged-Pawnshop on Polymarket: 1 settled bet · won 0% (95% range 0%–79%) · profit −$62. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +3.8% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Nov 1, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Aged-Pawnshop: Polymarket record”, as of Nov 1, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0xa6e4d6da7e3ba05550437db4475eacb1cc21369f. Data CC BY 4.0.
Aged-Pawnshop: −$62 on 1 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–79%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Oct 17 – Nov 1
- −$62
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 28 | SELL No @ 97¢ | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? ↗ | $2.0K |
All 1 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.