Buzzing-Beginner
Skill vs luck
Buzzing-Beginner on Polymarket: 2 settled bets · won 100% (95% range 34%–100%) · profit +$10K. Skill vs luck: too few settled bets to tell. Copying the top 20% of Polymarket whales returned +2.1% on later weeks (all top whales, not this one). As of Oct 31, 2026.
Cite: Hopium Games, “Buzzing-Beginner: Polymarket record”, as of Oct 31, 2026, https://hopium.games/wallet/0x85a85805bcbdf2e629788adac1420b6b53949281. Data CC BY 4.0.
Buzzing-Beginner: +$10K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 100% (95% range 34%–100%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
- Aug 20 – Sep 3
- +$10K
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 30 | SELL No
@ 92¢
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? |
Will a new country join the Abraham Accords before 2027? | $3.2K |
| Oct 27 | BUY No @ 71¢ | Will Likud win the most seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election? ↗ | $3.1K |
| Oct 26 | BUY No @ 89¢ | Israel Election: Any Coalition Wins a Majority? ↗ | $2.3K |
| Oct 26 | SELL No
@ 92¢
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? |
Will Lebanon recognize Israel by December 31? | $1.5K |
| Oct 17 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | $7.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY Yes @ 76¢ | US x Iran ceasefire continues through October 31? ↗ | $7.0K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | $2.6K |
| Sep 28 | BUY Yes
@ 63¢
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? |
Will AI solve 0 more Millennium Prize Problems in 2026? | $2.9K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.