Smoggy-Sunglasses
0xb4f2592e67c333e73c923547cfe05e768180e5fa
Smoggy-Sunglasses: +$5.9K on 4 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 50% (95% range 15%–85%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
+$5.9K
return +84.0%
Settled bets
4
$7.0K staked
Won
50.0%
95% range 15%–85%
Mostly bets on
other
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by period
- Aug 20 – Sep 6
- −$78
- Sep 6 – Sep 24
- +$5.6K
- Sep 24 – Oct 12
- +$369
Settled profit in each period since Aug 20 (14 days or a little longer; hover a bar for its dates). A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −10.9%
(2,374 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Oct 12 | BUY Yes
@ 80¢
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? |
US x Yemen ceasefire continues through October 31? | $3.7K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 34¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | $2.1K |
| Oct 10 | BUY No
@ 90¢
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? |
Will Israel Katz be the next Israeli Minister of Defense? | $1.9K |
| Sep 30 | BUY No
@ 88¢
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026? |
Next US-Iran senior diplomatic meeting by October 5, 2026? | $2.7K |
| Sep 25 | BUY No
@ 95¢
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by October 31, 2026? | $2.3K |
| Sep 20 | BUY No
@ 70¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 15, 2026? | $1.1K |
| Sep 19 | BUY No
@ 36¢
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? |
Will Anthropic IPO by November 30, 2026? | $2.7K |
| Sep 18 | BUY No
@ 66¢
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? |
Iran-Oman Hormuz Agreement by October 31? | $4.7K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the last daily update. Individual fills, not combined.