Lanky-Referendum-Humour
0x1b2e80a4fbba70cbde558d06d229e92b2b5226ae
Lanky-Referendum-Humour: −$3.7K on 2 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 0% (95% range 0%–66%). Skill or luck: too few bets to judge.
Profit
−$3.7K
return −100.0%
Settled bets
2
$3.7K staked
Won
0.0%
95% range 0%–66%
Mostly bets on
politics/macro
Skill or luck? Too few bets to judge. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 2 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- −$1.3K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$2.4K
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 29 | BUY Yes
@ 31¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Sep 27 | BUY Yes
@ 35¢
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? |
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the October 2026 meeting? | $1.2K |
| Sep 12 | BUY No
@ 22¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | $1.1K |
| Sep 9 | BUY No
@ 47¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | $1.3K |
| Sep 1 | BUY No
@ 45¢
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? |
Fed Rate Hike by September 2026 Meeting? | $1.3K |
All 5 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.