Polymarket market · Sports

Will Manchester United FC win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

21 whales put $97K into this market since Aug 22, 64% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 19 whales whose whole position we captured, 5 made +$33K and 14 lost −$58K: −$25K between them.

The whales on this market

21 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Foolish-Mango
222 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 30¢ $13K — +$31K
Ill-Fated-Kielbasa-Counterpart
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $11K — −$11K
Tense-Hometown
84 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 61¢ $10K — −$10K
Forked-Pricing
104 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 85¢ $7.5K — +$1.3K
Scary-Farming
25 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $7.2K —
Urban-Cape-Disk
80 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 16¢ $6.4K — −$6.4K
Anchored-Grit
44 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $5.8K — −$5.8K
All-Peasant-Drug
811 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $4.9K — −$4.9K
Infatuated-Ecclesia-Claw
18 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 91¢ $4.6K — +$451
Thorny-Snowboarding
35 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 44¢ $2.3K $1.3K —
Salty-Wording-Breadcrumb
42 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 72¢ $3.2K — −$3.2K
Smug-Variability
47 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $2.6K — −$2.6K
Paltry-Streetcar
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 16¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Frosty-Layer-Numismatist
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 49¢ $2.5K — −$2.5K
Silky-Geometry
191 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 73¢ $2.2K — −$2.2K
Cluttered-Possible
18 settled bets Worse than the odds
Yes @ 72¢ $2.0K — −$2.0K
Rectangular-Cartridge
7 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 97¢ $1.8K — +$51
Venerated-Broom-Confusion
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 72¢ $1.8K — −$1.8K
Grave-Coconut
198 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 98¢ $1.5K — +$31
Definitive-Tambourine
1 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 71¢ $1.2K — −$1.2K
Inferior-Freon
11 settled bets Too few bets
Yes @ 73¢ $1.0K — −$1.0K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $57K
    64% of whale buying · 14 buyers · $8.5K sold
  2. No won
    $28K
    32% of whale buying · 5 buyers
  3. Yes lost
    $3.2K
    4% of whale buying · 1 buyer

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the weekly run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the weekly run (1791223421).

About this data · weekly run 1791223421, computed 2026-10-05 18:03 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791223421 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed