Polymarket market · Sports

Will Sunderland AFC win on 2026-08-22?

Resolved: No won · See it on Polymarket ↗

12 whales put $186K into this market since Aug 21, 63% of their buying on Yes. No won. Of the 11 whales whose whole position we captured, 7 made +$29K and 4 lost −$121K: −$93K between them.

The whales on this market

12 whales
Whale · recordBackedBoughtSold Made on it
Feisty-Mention
59 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $61K — −$61K
Pristine-Hatred
98 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 37¢ $48K — −$48K
Substantial-Service
750 settled bets Beat the odds*
No @ 64¢ $20K — +$11K
Foolish-Mango
227 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $15K — +$2.6K
Courageous-Robin
67 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 36¢ $10K — −$10K
Wiry-Investigator
63 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 64¢ $9.3K — +$5.2K
Rusty-Mangrove
11 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 64¢ $6.5K — +$3.7K
Frail-Possible
629 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 69¢ $5.1K — +$2.3K
Gleeful-Cauliflower
3,575 settled bets Can't tell from luck
No @ 63¢ $4.4K — +$2.6K
Scornful-West
163 settled bets Can't tell from luck
sold only $0 $3.8K —
Confused-Hero
5 settled bets Too few bets
No @ 64¢ $1.7K — +$972
Bowed-Millet
29 settled bets Can't tell from luck
Yes @ 40¢ $1.1K — −$1.1K

Where the whale money went

  1. Yes lost
    $116K
    63% of whale buying · 4 buyers
  2. No won
    $58K
    32% of whale buying · 7 buyers · $3.8K sold
  3. No lost
    $8.9K
    5% of whale buying · 2 buyers

From the whale trades we capture ($1,000+) on this market, Aug 21 to Aug 22, 2026. Whether it resolved, and each whale's record, are from the daily run. “Made on it” is what each whale took out plus what its shares paid at the end ($1 for the winner, nothing for the rest), counting only trades we captured. A dash means it sold more than we saw it buy, so part of its position is missing and it's left out of the totals. How profit is counted.

Results and records from the run (1791710133).

About this data · run 1791710133, computed 2026-10-11 09:15 UTC
Source: hopium_compute run 1791710133 (PG metrics_*)
  • Poly: only >=$1k trades captured -> per-wallet PnL partial
  • Limitless: price/contracts only since 2026-09-05
  • latest window has the most unresolved markets
  • Limitless wash/value-transfer trades excluded (see wash); Poly off-book is report-only
  • fair value covers Limitless crypto markets only (Binance); stocks have no reference feed