Unacceptable-Sphynx
0x5a05e01f55e03f43105c3e8890beb9e8185012a2
Unacceptable-Sphynx: +$18K on 44 settled Polymarket bets since Aug 20, won 43% (95% range 30%–58%). Skill or luck: indistinguishable from luck.
Profit
+$18K
return +34.4%
Settled bets
44
$53K staked
Won
43.2%
95% range 30%–58%
Mostly bets on
esports
Skill or luck? Indistinguishable from luck. We compare how often its bets won with the odds it paid for them, over 11 bets held to the end. Profit counts its $1,000+ bets since Aug 20, marked against how each market resolved.
Profit by 2 weeks
- Aug 20 – Sep 4
- +$18K
- Sep 4 – Sep 20
- −$46
- Sep 20 – Oct 5
- −$11
Settled profit in each two-week period since Aug 20. A dashed slot had no settled bets.
Thinking of copying this wallet? When we copied the top 20% of Polymarket whales into the following
weeks, at prices a follower could actually get, copiers made −7.0%
(2,053 positions).
Latest captured bets
| When | Bet | Market | Size |
|---|---|---|---|
| Sep 23 | SELL LGD Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: LGD Gaming vs MOUZ - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Team Nemesis
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 2 Winner | $2.0K |
| Sep 23 | SELL Conventus Stellarum
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: Team Nemesis vs Conventus Stellarum - Game 1 Winner | $3.4K |
| Sep 21 | SELL Pipsqueak+4
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner |
Dota 2: GamerLegion vs Pipsqueak+4 - Game 1 Winner | $1.5K |
| Sep 20 | SELL Xtreme Gaming
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs Xtreme Gaming (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $2.2K |
| Sep 19 | SELL Conventus Stellarum
@ 99.9¢
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage |
Dota 2: Conventus Stellarum vs PlayTime (BO3) - PGL Wallachia Group Stage | $4.7K |
| Sep 12 | SELL Brandon Moreno
@ 48¢
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | $1.3K |
| Sep 11 | BUY Brandon Moreno
@ 49¢
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) |
Noche UFC: Brandon Moreno vs. Joseph Morales (Flyweight, Main Card) | $1.3K |
Its last 8 captured bets of $1,000+ in the last 60 days, as of the weekly update. Individual fills, not combined.